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Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla #2020

Out of the Mountains The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla When Americans think of modern warfare what comes to mind is the US army skirmishing with terrorists and insurgents in the mountains of Afghanistan But the face of global conflict is ever changing In

  • Title: Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla
  • Author: David Kilcullen
  • ISBN: 9780199737505
  • Page: 339
  • Format: Hardcover
  • Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla By David Kilcullen, When Americans think of modern warfare, what comes to mind is the US army skirmishing with terrorists and insurgents in the mountains of Afghanistan But the face of global conflict is ever changing In Out of the Mountains, David Kilcullen, one of the world s leading experts on current and future conflict, offers a groundbreaking look at what may happen after today s warsWhen Americans think of modern warfare, what comes to mind is the US army skirmishing with terrorists and insurgents in the mountains of Afghanistan But the face of global conflict is ever changing In Out of the Mountains, David Kilcullen, one of the world s leading experts on current and future conflict, offers a groundbreaking look at what may happen after today s wars end This is a book about future conflicts and future cities, and about the challenges and opportunities that four powerful megatrends population, urbanization, coastal settlement, and connectedness are creating across the planet And it is about what cities, communities and businesses can do to prepare for a future in which all aspects of human society including, but not limited to, conflict, crime and violence are changing at an unprecedented pace.Kilcullen argues that conflict is increasingly likely to occur in sprawling coastal cities, in peri urban slum settlements that are enveloping many regions of the Middle East, Africa, Latin America and Asia, and in highly connected, electronically networked settings He suggests that cities, rather than countries, are the critical unit of analysis for future conflict and that resiliency, not stability, will be the key objective Ranging across the globe from Kingston to Mogadishu to Lagos to Benghazi to Mumbai he offers a unified theory of competitive control that explains how non state armed groups such as drug cartels, street gangs, and warlords draw their strength from local populations, providing useful ideas for dealing with these groups and with diffuse social conflicts in general His extensive fieldwork on the ground in a series of urban conflicts suggests that there will be no military solution for many of the struggles we will face in the future We will need to involve local people deeply to address problems that neither outsiders nor locals alone can solve, drawing on the insight only locals can bring, together with outsider knowledge from fields like urban planning, systems engineering, renewable energy, conflict resolution and mediation.This deeply researched and compellingly argued book provides an invaluable roadmap to a future that will increasingly be crowded, urban, coastal, connected and dangerous.

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    1 thought on “Out of the Mountains: The Coming Age of the Urban Guerrilla

    1. Broad study of some future trends in warfare Kilcullen considers that warfare against non state actors, whether terrorists or organized crime, will remain important, assuming the decline in interstate warfare continues However, the author takes note of demographic trends rapid population growth, urbanization, littoralization concentration of population growth along the coasts , and increasing technological connections The following chapters expand upon this theme Chapter 2 discusses the scale of [...]

    2. This is far than a book on tactics in the chaotic world we re in it s an analysis of strife and the social, urban and environmental trends that feed it and shape it The world is increasingly urbanized, and those urban areas are often usually coastal littoral , a word he uses often , dysfunctional, complex, connected electronically and filled with internal rivalries and flashpoints It s the kind of dystopia that authors like Martin van Creveld The Transformation of War and Robert Kaplan The Comi [...]

    3. Out of the Mountains is a serious work of scholarship written by David Kilcullen a serious scholar of modern warfare It s not a topic that I would want to study in depth, but I m glad there are people out there who make it their lives work A full disclosure, I received this book through First Reads program Kilcullen points out that we are becoming clustered in our coastal cities We use our technology to connect us in ways that our ancestors couldn t even dream Our clustering and our connectivit [...]

    4. Very good overview of urban counterinsurgency to come, almost by way of an anthropological sociological view of urbanization, rather than a purely military focus The appendix is where the technical meat is, and it s quite fascinating The idea that Iraq Afghanistan are a collective mistake best forgotten is reinforced by Kilcullen s reference to innovative studies on urban operations, which really peaked between 1997 and 2002, and were then stopped and or forgotten after the invasion of Iraq.But [...]

    5. More an overview than an in depth account, Kilcullen s latest is, however, packed with ideas Lots of it isn t particularly new, especially the urban theory and the overall demographics used to underpin the book s main thesis In any case, it s an easy overview of some upcoming challenges and environments that people ought to think about My only quibble is that he tends to approach the issues with with a military mindset, or with an emphasis on military tools.

    6. Very interesting book which reads like a guide to modern urban warfare two days after the Paris attacks I would strongly recommend all urban dwellers to check it as they may one day face the same situation as the Mumbai and Paris inhabitants.

    7. Anyone interested in the future of COIN operations and warfare in the near future should consider picking up a copy of this book It is incredibly interesting and highlights trends that will change how we view and practice warfare Dr Kilcullen s work never disappoints

    8. A lot of the observations are of the obvious if you live in a city sort of thing, but the way Kilcullen takes those observations and constructs an actionable theory of military and police action is pretty damn beautiful.

    9. An excellent work focussed on insurgency from recent global examples, but with an equally interesting basis on urban littoralization the increasing size and number of cities in coastal areas and the contest for control between state and non state actors.

    10. I enjoyed Kilcullen s venture into this intriguing field of conflict futurology The appendix at the end was by far the most interesting and coherent The book is a valuable source of resources for further reading and research A useful primer on a complex and difficult subject.

    11. This book is an in depth analysis of current and future urban environments and how security, armies, governments, businesses and illegitimate organizations operate within.

    12. Kilcullen s work is as informative as it is compelling.Prepare for the next era of warfare, one that takes place in massive, interconnected, coastal cities.

    13. I read it under a landscape architectural urbanist geographic lens with no military or techno military knowledge What interested me first is David Kilcullen s thesis, pretty simple but very relevant I noted three interrelated drivers I should include food security and water supply to this list as it will become as important as the three drivers I will mention that may dominate this 21st century population growth rural to urban migration As you know population growth will be accompanied with a co [...]

    14. Out along the shpreAs always an excellent review of likely potential war zones and how future battles may be A bit academic then his last book but still a good read.

    15. I chose this book from the Vine Program because it sounded very interesting, but was concerned I d drown in military speak or dense academic language No worries Kilcullen s writing is clear, concise and accessible, and while he uses some academic terminology to explain theories from the varied fields of sociology, public health, military science, economics, political science, etc he explains thoroughly with real world examples such as the Mumbai attack and the Blackhawk Down incident in Mogadish [...]

    16. There is something familiar yet new about David Kilcullen s Out of the Mountains The Coming Age of the Urban Guerilla By looking at four trends population growth, urbanization, coastal life, and interconnectedness, Kilcullen paints a rather convincing picture of the future of warfare Instead of large scale state on state warfare, Kilcullen predicts that warfare will take place where population is likely to be centered in urban areas along the coast.Technology will play a role because technology [...]

    17. Out of the Mountains The Coming of Age of the Urban Guerrilla certainly makes a solid case concerning the changing face of warfare I am just not totally sure that urban warfare is a new idea Mogadishu, Byzantium, Vietnam Kilcullen does present an interesting subject in an educated manner, and his first hand experience adds credibility to his argument He states that the ever increasing population is becoming urbanized, and concentrated in coastal areas this is a trend that has been taking place [...]

    18. In Out of the Mountains The Coming Age of the Urban Guerilla author David Kilcullen cogently explains how certain macro social changes over the course of the next generation will change warfare as we know it In some respects, Kilcullen is pointing to changes that are already visibly in effect and being grappled with by present day state actors the ability of nongovernmental organizations to use social media to orchestrate targeted action, military or otherwise and the overall decline of state on [...]

    19. A great introduction to the background workings of modern and possible future conflicts of the world I will never look at the terror organisations the same way I now see, how the common man wishes to have modern freedoms, that should be guaranteed on the basis of UN Human Rights, but at the same time longs for Stability and Safety in the zones of persistent conflicts I see now than ever how social segregation and extreme poverty are fertile soil for Mafias or similar organisations to start comp [...]

    20. Kilcullen writes a well paced narrative of potential urban warfare with good case samples from world mega cities based on real world examples Key stress points will be littoral and the utilization of hybrid and competitive control and connectivity that will override local government s ability to respond and control The new warfare will be irregular, urbanized and will need local support and understanding of culture and customs to resolve conflict The solution will most often not be a classic mil [...]

    21. In the military we were always being taught to train for the next war This author does a good job of looking at some of our recent encounters and those of our adversaries and posits wars fought in urban environs and how such warfare might be accomplished He looks at the huge populated areas along the coasts, the nonstates that have come into existence, the competitions among interest groups and the connectivity of social media throughout the world The picture isn t pretty The use of technology h [...]

    22. According to Kilcullen, future irregular wars will not be in remote mountainous regions like Afghanistan, but in crowded, urban, coastal, and connected megaslums whose typical inhabitant has a cellphone but no reliable water, electricity, or sewage service The typical opponent will be an armed gang allied with a political faction Whover can provide the population with the best semblance of order will win their support Archtypical battles include the 2008 terrorist raid in Mumbai, the Battle of t [...]

    23. An expert account of the way technology and highly urbanized coastal environments will effect the future of conflict Kilcullen a former Australian soldier and strategic consultant in conflict areas as diverse as Sudan, Iraq, Afghanistan and Jamaica applies his experience and insight to the terrain of future warfare and identifies non state armed groups as the actors with the most maneuverability and adaptability His assessment of the Arab Spring uprisings and the utilization of Social Media by t [...]

    24. Kilcullen givs a good overview of the likely character of warfare in the coming decades We have already seen that conflict has become very different from warfare in the 20th century, but now Western militaries will have to take into account non state adversaries, urban combat than ever before, and most importantly cyberwarfare and global digital connectivity Conventional armies will face a real challenge, as is already unfolding in Iraq and Syria It is all laid out here as an excellent primer, [...]

    25. A great read, containing many useful terms and examples to help understand not only where warefare is headingbut where it already is in many ways and where it s been quite a few times over the past twenty odd years A well written book that doesn t require you to decipher a dense, wanky congruence of acronyms and military jargon the author wisely cordons most of that sort of thing into an appendix, which wasn t a half bad read anyways.I made a great deal of notes in the margins and truly felt bet [...]

    26. Kilcullen is extremely knowledgeable about military tactics, and has written extensively in this book about numerous conflicts from around the world I especially enjoyed learning the history and details of such battles The last chapter was also interesting, where he discusses his ideas about future directions for rapidly expanding urban areas Overall this was a very interesting and highly informative discussion of past, current, and future urbanized and littoral cities I won this book in a Givea [...]

    27. Two things It s time to drag ourselves body and mind out of the mountains and Troops will have to become hikers again, not campers Another excellent, forward thinking work about the future of conflict in the always modernizing world Excellent case studies, theories, and insights that I will keep in my toolbox If you are a student or practitioner, there is plenty here for you to digest and think about with regards to future conflict in the crowded, complex, and coastal operating environment.

    28. I may be biased but, as a journal editor and one who does not specialize in conflict studies, I found this book extremely interesting but one that is much better suited for a journal article The thesis is powerful and compelling in part because of its simplicity and, ultimately, while I enjoyed it and respect Kilcullen s work immensely, I just didn t find I needed to invest the time or delve into the detail a book requires for this argument.

    29. Good book, kinda scary gloom and doom until the last chapter because the author seems to expect every large city near the ocean to have to fight it s own insurgency in the future, but the theory of competitive control makes a lot of sense and goes further than counterinsurgency theory including the previous theories by same author to explain how and why insurgents fight and people sometimes choose to back the insurgent than the government.

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